山口経済学雑誌

Back to Top

山口経済学雑誌 Volume 68 Issue 3
published_at 2019-11-30

Growth slow-down in China : an intertemporal dynamic CGE analysis

Growth slow-down in China : an intertemporal dynamic CGE analysis
fulltext
1.44 MB
C050068000301.pdf
Descriptions
This paper introduces a dynamic intertemporal computable general equilibrium(CGE) model for China with forward-looking agents and intertemporal consumption and investment decisions. Some simple long-term growth scenarios are also run. The results imply that a long-run growth rate below 5% may have adverse macroeconomic impacts on the Chinese economy.